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PSEi 8/8/08 WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW by Whipsaw
12 August 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close: 2,692.81
Change: 8.17 0.30%
Value: 2,562,855,945
MARKET BREADTH
Net Advancing Issues: 19
Net Up Volume: 1,692,365,260
Net Foreign Buying: -179,607,158
TRENDS
* UNDEFINED PRIMARY TREND | Declining wave | Prior support 2289 | Prior resistance 3896
* INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Broken trendline | Correctivel wave | Prior support 2289 | Prior r
esistance 2903
* SHORT TERM PROVISIONAL UPTREND | Directional wave| Prior support 2372 | Prior resistance 2507 broken
PSEi 6/27/08 WEEKLY REVIEW
28 June 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close: 2,466.28
Change: -55.33(-2.19%)
Value: 7,240,933,000
MARKET BREADTH
Net Advancing Issues: -73
Net Up Volume: 311,302,880
Net Foreign Buying: 4,774,440,891
TRENDS
* UNDEFINED PRIMARY TREND | Broken UP trendline | Corrective wave | Prior resistance 3896
* INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 2510 | Prior resistance 2903
* SHORT TERM DOWNTREND | Correctivewave | Prior support 2469 | Prior resistance 2650
CHART WATCH
The charts indubitably show the trends in diferent time frames declining and we should expect the index to continue to move in that general direction. The MACD vs price divergence appearing in the intermediate trend from Jan-May failed in early June when the MACD broke below the line drawn below the advancing troughs and subsequently realigned with the price decline.
DJIA 06/26 Review
28 June 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close 11346.51
Change -106.91(-0.93%)
Volume 976,217,280
MARKET BREADTH NYSE
Net Advancing Issues -827
Net New Highs -456
Net Up Volume -3,373,874,963
TRENDS
*PRIMARY PROVISIONAL DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 11634-Broken | Prior resistance 13136
*INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior Support 11731-Broken | Resistance 13136
*SHORT TERM DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior Support 12076 - Broken | Resistance 12320
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Major alarm bells sounded off this week, when the primary and intermediate support levels were breached in sweeping fashion. Trendwise, the index is marking new lows, meaning no relevant prior support levels remain which we can use to identfiy near term areas of potential buying interest. Historically though, the index is back to levels of 2006, a year when the market found major support at 10,683. The MACD shows the decline is gaining momentum.
PSEi WEEKLY REVIEW 6/20/08
23 June 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close: 2,578.57
Change: -14.02(-0.54%)
Value: 2,248,899,110
MARKET BREADTH
Net Advancing Issues: -34
Net Up Volume: -1,033,523,710
Net Foreign Buying: 309,676,860
TRENDS
* UNDEFINED PRIMARY TREND | Broken UP trendline | Corrective wave | Prior resistance 3896
* INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 2510 | Prior resistance 2903
* SHORT TERM PROVISIONAL DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 2510| Prior resistance 2650
CHART WATCH
The index continues its short term and intermediate downtrend. Coming from an interrupted uptrend, the primary trend, although technically undefined, has been on a declining wave since Oct-2007. The next critical level is the prior support of 2510.
DJIA 6/20/08 WEEKLY REVIEW
23 June 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close 11,842.69
Change -220.40 (1.83%)
Volume 1,051M
MARKET BREADTH NYSE
Net Advancing Issues -2136
Net New Highs -250
Net Up Volume 518,494,226
TRENDS
*PROVISIONAL PRIMARY DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 11634 | Prior resistance 13136
*INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior Support 11731 | Resistance 13136
*SHORT TERM DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior Support 12076 - Broken | Resistance 12320 | TP 11800
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The Dow continues to trend downward in all time frames. It is nearing the 11800 MMTP that we cited earlier.
PSEi 6/13/08 PHILIPPINE STOCK MARKET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
17 June 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close: 2,554.75
Change: 9.86(0.39%)
Value: 2,719,993,000
MARKET BREADTH
Net Advancing Issues: 15
Net Up Volume: -639,781,870
Net Foreign Buying: -599,240,543
TRENDS
* MAJOR UPTREND | Broken trendline | Corrective wave | Prior support 2034 | Prior resistance 3896
* INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Directional wave | No relevant prior support | Prior resistance 2903
* SHORT TERM PROVISIONAL DOWNTREND | Downswing | No relevant prior support | Prior resistance 2868
The local index is in a clear downtrend and there are no indications that the directional tendency is about to change. One should not initiate long positions except for individual stocks that are trending contrary to the broad market.
Copyright (c) Whipsaw 2008. All rights reserved. Whipsaw Blog is open by invitation only. DISCLAIMER. Posts appearing in this blog are solely intended for the study, research, and practical application of technical analysis and do not constitute recommendations or solicitations to invest or trade in specific stock securities. The author does not guarantee the accuracy of the charts and the underlying data
DJIA 6/13/08 STOCK MARKET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
17 June 2008
PRICE AND TURNOVER
Close 12,307.35
Change 165.77 (1.37%)
Volume 846.9M
MARKET BREADTH NYSE
Net Advancing Issues +1534
Net New High -117
Net Up Volume +2,394,880,104
TRENDS
*PROVISIONAL PRIMARY DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 11634 | Prior resistance 13136
*INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Broken trendline
| Directional wave | Prior Support 11731 | Resistance 13136
*SHORT TERM PROVISIONAL DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 12076 | Resistance 12610
The inverted hammer which we called attention to yesterday lives up to its name when it is confirmed by today's higher close and higher intraday range. This means the Dow has found buying support at 12076 and could be in the early stage of a correction rally. It is not unreasonable to expect the index to retrace until around 12400 before resuming the downtrend.
PSEi May Weekly
14 May 2008
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The index closes fractionally higher on Friday and ends the week up 2%. Year to date the average is behind by 23%. The intermediate and minor trends are still declining. It is attempting to find support within the smaller trend from which to launch a possible correction rally. For now the trends constrain us to expect the index to move in the current direction. The chart offerS the ff potential price objectives: short term 2630 | intermediate 2500 | major 1800.
MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS
* MAJOR CONSOLIDATION | Prior support 2272 | Prior resistance 3897 | Potential resistance (Fibo) 3159-3437 | Double top TP 1800 * INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Potential support 2500 | Prior resistance 3051 | Measured move objective 2500 * MINOR DOWNTREND | Prior support 2712 | Resistance: Prior 2956, Trendline resistance, Retracement 50% 2833 | Measured move objective 2630 *

